The School of Odds

FC Juárez v Pumas

2026-08-01 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prediction 35.86%2.79fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.44%35.89%35.90%36.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.522.6242%39%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pumas (Visit)

Prediction 36.94%2.71fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%36.82%37.04%37.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.5543%40%40%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.800%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%27.30%27.05%28.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.343.6032%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.91%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 07:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.91%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 07:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.76%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.80%E -2.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.08%E -0.578%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.76%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.80%E -2.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 19:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.76%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.78%EV -7.12%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.17%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:35
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.78%EV -7.12%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.17%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.50%E -3.88%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 19:32
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.50%E -3.88%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 19:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 19:35
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.14%E -4.96%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.19%E -5.61%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-20 19:33
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -13.94%E -5.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -12.08%E -5.08%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-20 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.