Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Juárez v Pumas

Início: 2026-08-01 03:00 UTC

Final: FC Juárez 1–5 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Juárez (Local)

Previsão 35.78%2.80odd justa
EV +3.04%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.32%35.77%35.92%37.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.602.8841.67%38.84%38.46%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 36.93%2.71odd justa
EV -0.663%
Vantagem -0.247%
Kelly -0.392%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.83%36.91%36.83%38.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.372.522.502.6942.19%39.76%40.00%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.30%3.66odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -0.716%
Kelly -0.995%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.69%27.31%27.26%28.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.383.5732.26%29.81%29.59%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Juárez (Local): 35.78%; Pumas (Visitante): 36.93%; Empate: 27.30%. Para FC Juárez (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.88, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.32%EV +3.04%E +1.05%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -8.79%E -3.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 02:55
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.56%E -0.716%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 02:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.12%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -2.14%E -0.808%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -2.83%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -2.14%E -0.808%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -2.83%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 02:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:54
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.26%E -2.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -6.62%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.83%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 02:04
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 02:15
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:03
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:08
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:09
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 02:34
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:10
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.08%EV -0.663%E -0.247%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -7.74%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 02:14
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 02:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 02:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 02:49
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 02:40
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.23%EV -9.48%E -3.75%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.60%EV -12.48%E -5.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 02:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -8.42%E -3.39%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 02:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.66%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 02:34
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.66%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 02:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.85%EV -13.42%E -5.55%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -12.48%E -5.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-01 02:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 02:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-08-01 02:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-08-01 02:45