L’École des cotes

FC Juárez v Pumas

2026-08-01 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

23 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 37.74%2.65cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.82%37.76%37.68%38.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.432.452.5543.86%41.14%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pumas (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.26%2.84cote équitable
EV +2.60%
Avantage +0.893%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.75%34.97%35.34%36.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.602.622.9140.82%38.39%38.17%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.777%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.84%27.26%26.98%28.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -6.02%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV +2.60%E +0.893%K +1.36%G +0.035%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -11.17%E -3.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 00:20
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.22%EV -1.63%E -0.585%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:23
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.22%EV -1.63%E -0.585%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:25
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.08%EV -5.16%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:04
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 23:44
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:39
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:24
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.40%E -2.58%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 01:35
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.40%E -2.58%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 01:34
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:23
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:24
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 23:24
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:14
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.53%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.86%EV -11.15%E -4.43%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 23:23
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:25
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 23:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -10.17%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 23:39
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.19%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 36.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%16.3%2026-07-25 23:25