Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Juárez v Pumas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 03:00 UTC

Score final : FC Juárez 1–5 Pumas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 35.78%2.80cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.32%35.77%35.92%37.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.8841.67%38.84%38.46%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pumas (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.93%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.663%
Avantage -0.247%
Kelly -0.392%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.83%36.91%36.83%38.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.372.522.502.6942.19%39.76%40.00%37.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.30%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -0.995%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.31%27.26%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.383.5732.26%29.81%29.59%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Juárez (Local) : 35.78% ; Pumas (Visiteur) : 36.93% ; Match nul : 27.30%. Pour FC Juárez (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.80. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.88, soit une espérance positive de +3.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.32%EV +3.04%E +1.05%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -8.79%E -3.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 02:55
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.56%E -0.716%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 02:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.12%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -2.14%E -0.808%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -2.83%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%EV -2.14%E -0.808%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -2.83%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 02:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:54
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.26%E -2.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -6.62%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.83%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 02:04
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 02:15
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:03
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:08
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:09
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:49
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 02:34
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:10
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.08%EV -0.663%E -0.247%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -7.74%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 02:14
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 02:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 02:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 02:49
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 02:40
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.23%EV -9.48%E -3.75%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.60%EV -12.48%E -5.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 02:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -8.42%E -3.39%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 02:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.66%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 02:34
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 02:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.66%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 02:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.85%EV -13.42%E -5.55%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -12.48%E -5.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-01 02:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.99%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 02:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-08-01 02:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-08-01 02:45