Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 45.43%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 29.14%; Draw: 25.43%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -11.87%E -6.12%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -12.78%E -6.66%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -14.15%E -7.48%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.00%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 06:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.544%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 06:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -15.05%E -8.05%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.89%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%EV -11.69%E -3.86%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.19%EV -11.50%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.97%E -5.59%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 06:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -14.03%E -4.75%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.07%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |