L’École des cotes

FC Juárez v Atlético San Luis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 45.43%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.39%45.45%45.55%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.26%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV +4.92%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%29.04%29.19%30.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.223.203.6034.72%31.05%31.25%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.43%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.544%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%25.51%25.25%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.8532.26%28.09%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -11.87%E -6.12%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:24
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -12.78%E -6.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -14.15%E -7.48%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:25
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:29
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 01:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:40
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:29
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.00%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 06:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:39
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:45
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 01:29
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.544%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -15.05%E -8.05%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:04
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.89%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%EV -11.69%E -3.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.19%EV -11.50%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:54
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:45
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:44
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.97%E -5.59%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 09:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:33
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 06:29
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -14.03%E -4.75%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-23 13:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:30
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.07%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-23 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%3.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%5.2%2026-04-23 15:30