La escuela de los momios

FC Juárez v Atlético San Luis

Inicio: 2026-04-26 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Predicción 45.43%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -4.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.39%45.45%45.55%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.26%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlético San Luis (Visitante)

Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV +4.92%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%29.04%29.19%30.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.203.6034.72%31.05%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.43%3.93momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.544%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.52%25.51%25.25%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.603.8532.26%28.09%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -10.51%E -5.34%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +4.92%E +1.37%K +1.89%G +0.093%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -11.87%E -6.12%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV +3.46%E +0.975%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:24
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -12.78%E -6.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -14.15%E -7.48%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV +2.00%E +0.573%K +0.802%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:25
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -16.87%E -9.22%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:29
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 01:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.06%E -2.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:40
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:29
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.00%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 06:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:39
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:45
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 01:29
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.544%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.79%E -3.84%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -15.05%E -8.05%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:04
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.89%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%EV -11.69%E -3.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.19%EV -11.50%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:54
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:45
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:44
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.97%E -5.59%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 09:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:33
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.88%E -3.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 06:29
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -14.60%E -7.77%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -14.03%E -4.75%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-23 13:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:30
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -13.69%E -7.21%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -15.48%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.24%E -6.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.07%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-23 13:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%3.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%5.2%2026-04-23 15:30