Language:English
Cruz Azul v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 54.68%1.83fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.75%54.61%54.42%56.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.641.7565.36%61.00%60.98%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.444%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%21.68%22.02%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.334.334.7025.97%23.09%23.09%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.60%4.24fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%23.71%23.56%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.873.954.1030.30%25.86%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 54.68%; Pumas (Visit): 21.72%; Draw: 23.60%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.87%E -6.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.78%E -5.92%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.68%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.27%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.54%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.90%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.76%EV -7.04%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.73%EV -7.47%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.35%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -16.34%E -10.68%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.18%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.87%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -22.13%E -6.70%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.06%EV -15.79%E -10.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.02%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.92%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 9.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |