La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 54.68%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -5.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.75%54.61%54.42%56.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.641.7565.36%61.00%60.98%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.444%
Kelly +0.563%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.04%21.68%22.02%23.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.334.334.7025.97%23.09%23.09%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.60%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.40%23.71%23.56%25.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.873.954.1030.30%25.86%25.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.87%E -6.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.78%E -5.92%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.68%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.27%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.54%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.90%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.76%EV -7.04%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.73%EV -7.47%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.35%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -16.34%E -10.68%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.18%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.87%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -22.13%E -6.70%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.06%EV -15.79%E -10.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.02%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.92%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 9.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |