L’École des cotesCruz Azul v Pumas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prévision 54.68%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.31%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -5.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.75%54.61%54.42%56.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.641.7565.36%61.00%60.98%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pumas (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV +2.08%
Avantage +0.444%
Kelly +0.563%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.04%21.68%22.02%23.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.334.334.7025.97%23.09%23.09%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.60%4.24cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.40%23.71%23.56%25.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.873.954.1030.30%25.86%25.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +2.08%E +0.444%K +0.563%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.87%E -6.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -0.087%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.78%E -5.92%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.68%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.68%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.27%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.54%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.90%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.76%EV -7.04%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.73%EV -7.47%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.35%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -16.34%E -10.68%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -13.60%E -8.61%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:10 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -17.41%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.18%EV -15.24%E -9.83%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.87%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.42%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -22.13%E -6.70%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-18 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.06%EV -15.79%E -10.25%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.02%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.92%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59% | 9.9% | 2026-05-18 19:55 |