Language:English
Cruz Azul v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 35.28%2.83fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.98%35.27%35.28%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.632.7540.82%38.21%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 38.13%2.62fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.91%38.17%38.06%39.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.402.402.5544.84%41.65%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.56%26.66%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.7432.26%29.24%29.41%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 35.28%; América (Visit): 38.13%; Draw: 26.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.74, with an expected value of -0.553%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -4.05%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.43%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -0.819%E -0.219%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 02:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 03:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 02:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 02:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -2.76%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 02:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 02:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 02:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 02:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 02:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.89%EV -11.10%E -4.41%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.89%EV -13.05%E -3.99%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-13 02:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 02:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 03:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 01:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 01:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-13 02:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.16%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.29%EV -14.96%E -6.71%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -17.57%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-13 02:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.40%EV -12.87%E -5.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.57%E -5.54%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 02:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 02:56 |