Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul v América

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 03:21 UTC

Score final : Cruz Azul 4–3 América

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 35.28%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.98%35.27%35.28%36.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.622.632.7540.82%38.21%38.02%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.13%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.91%38.17%38.06%39.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.402.402.5544.84%41.65%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.553%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.202%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%26.56%26.66%27.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.403.7432.26%29.24%29.41%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruz Azul (Local) : 35.28% ; América (Visiteur) : 38.13% ; Match nul : 26.59%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.74, pour une espérance de -0.553% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 02:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 02:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -4.05%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.43%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -0.819%E -0.219%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 02:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 02:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 02:46
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:09
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:46
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:46
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 02:41
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 02:35
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 02:44
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 02:41
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -2.76%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 02:51
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 02:01
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 02:51
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 03:10
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 02:51
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.89%EV -11.10%E -4.41%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.89%EV -13.05%E -3.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 02:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 03:01
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 02:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 02:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 02:41
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.16%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.29%EV -14.96%E -6.71%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -17.57%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 02:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.40%EV -12.87%E -5.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 03:10
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.57%E -5.54%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 02:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-09-13 03:10
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-13 02:56