默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul v América

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 03:21 UTC

最终结果: Cruz Azul 4–3 América

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul (主队)

预测 35.28%2.83公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -1.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.98%35.27%35.28%36.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.622.632.7540.82%38.21%38.02%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

América (客队)

预测 38.13%2.62公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
36.91%38.17%38.06%39.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.402.402.5544.84%41.65%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.59%3.76公平赔率
EV -0.553%
优势 -0.148%
Kelly -0.202%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.74

博彩公司预测分布
25.49%26.56%26.66%27.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.423.403.7432.26%29.24%29.41%26.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cruz Azul (主队):35.28%;América (客队):38.13%;平局:26.59%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.74,期望值为-0.553%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 02:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 02:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -4.05%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.43%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -0.819%E -0.219%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 02:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 02:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -4.29%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -0.553%E -0.148%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 02:46
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 03:09
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:46
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:46
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 02:41
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.09%EV -6.87%E -2.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.34%E -3.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 02:35
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 03:10
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.67%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 02:44
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.57%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 02:41
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -2.76%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 02:51
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 02:01
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.39%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 02:51
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -8.28%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 03:10
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 02:51
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.89%EV -11.10%E -4.41%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.89%EV -13.05%E -3.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 02:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.48%E -3.53%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 03:01
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 02:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 02:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 01:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.29%E -5.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 02:41
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.16%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.29%EV -14.96%E -6.71%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -17.57%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 02:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.40%EV -12.87%E -5.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -11.53%E -4.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 03:10
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.57%E -5.54%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 02:51
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-09-13 03:10
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-09-13 03:10
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-13 02:56