Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v Tijuana

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 03:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 0–0 Tijuana

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 41.91%2.39fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.92%41.86%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.202.202.3248.31%45.40%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 30.42%3.29fair odd
EV +0.370%
Edge +0.112%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.25%30.40%30.43%31.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.92%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.68%27.71%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 41.91%; Tijuana (Visit): 30.42%; Draw: 27.67%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.370%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 02:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:44
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -8.22%E -3.75%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.66%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:15
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.75%EV -2.77%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -2.86%E -0.816%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:05
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 02:14
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:14
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:33
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:24
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 02:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 02:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.12%E -2.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.54%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 02:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 02:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 02:45
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -9.47%E -4.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 02:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 02:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.12%EV -9.67%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.69%EV -10.61%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:25
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 02:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 02:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:34
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:29
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.40%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.96%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 02:54
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-01 02:50