The School of Odds

Atlético San Luis v Tijuana

2026-08-01 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 41.85%2.39fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.43%41.70%41.85%42.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.072.202.202.3048%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 31.20%3.21fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.64%31.19%31.23%31.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.933.0036%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%27.12%26.92%28.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.403.6032%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -5.42%E -2.40%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:35
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 19:35
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.26%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -7.65%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:35
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.10%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 19:35
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.10%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:34
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -16.45%E -5.31%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -16.45%E -5.31%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -16.45%E -5.31%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -16.45%E -5.31%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.03%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 19:32
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.03%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-20 19:35
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.48%EV -13.37%E -6.46%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -10.46%E -3.64%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.89%EV -11.87%E -3.63%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-20 19:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.