Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético San Luis v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 03:00 UTC

Score final : Atlético San Luis 0–0 Tijuana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prévision 41.91%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.07%41.92%41.86%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.072.202.202.3248.31%45.40%45.45%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.42%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.370%
Avantage +0.112%
Kelly +0.161%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.25%30.40%30.43%31.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.92%32.79%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.67%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%27.68%27.71%28.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético San Luis (Local) : 41.91% ; Tijuana (Visiteur) : 30.42% ; Match nul : 27.67%. Pour Tijuana (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.370%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 02:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:44
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -8.22%E -3.75%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.66%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:15
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.75%EV -2.77%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -2.86%E -0.816%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:05
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 02:14
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:14
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 02:33
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:24
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 02:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 02:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.12%E -2.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.54%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 02:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 02:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 02:45
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -9.47%E -4.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 02:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 02:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 02:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.12%EV -9.67%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.69%EV -10.61%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 02:25
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 02:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 02:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 02:34
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:29
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.40%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.96%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 02:54
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-08-01 02:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-01 02:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-01 02:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-01 02:50