Idioma:Español
Atlético San Luis v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Predicción 41.91%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.07%41.92%41.86%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.072.202.202.3248.31%45.40%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 30.42%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.370%
Ventaja +0.112%
Kelly +0.161%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.25%30.40%30.43%31.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.92%32.79%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%27.68%27.71%28.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlético San Luis (Local): 41.91%; Tijuana (Visitante): 30.42%; Empate: 27.67%. Para Tijuana (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.370%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%EV +0.370%E +0.112%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.27%EV -2.03%E -0.574%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -8.22%E -3.75%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.66%EV -3.28%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.75%EV -2.77%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -2.86%E -0.816%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.14%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 02:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 02:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 02:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 02:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.96%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 02:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 02:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -7.23%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.12%E -2.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.54%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 02:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 02:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -9.47%E -4.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-01 02:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.75%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-01 02:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.12%EV -9.67%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.69%EV -10.61%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 02:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 02:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 02:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-01 02:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.40%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.96%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-01 02:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.54%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 02:50 |