Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v Mazatlán FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 58.03%1.72fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.74%57.98%58.04%59.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.581.6667.57%63.06%63.29%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mazatlán FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.560%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.25%18.42%18.42%19.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.085.105.6022.73%19.68%19.61%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.60%23.54%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.903.954.1528.57%25.62%25.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 58.03%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 18.42%; Draw: 23.55%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -2.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV +3.14%E +0.560%K +0.682%G +0.021%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.63%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -0.547%E -0.101%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:30
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -6.75%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.75%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.97%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:29
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:50
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:39
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 02:35
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 02:25
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -5.15%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:29
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -8.63%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 02:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 02:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 02:35
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 02:15
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 02:35
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -12.95%E -8.63%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 02:25
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.68%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 02:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.13%EV -14.11%E -9.53%K -29.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.30%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-04 02:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.39%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.87%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.63%E -6.90%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -18.96%E -4.31%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-04 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-04 02:40