La escuela de los momios

Atlético San Luis v Mazatlán FC

Inicio: 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Predicción 58.03%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -5.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.74%57.98%58.04%59.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.591.581.6667.57%63.06%63.29%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mazatlán FC (Visitante)

Predicción 18.42%5.43momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.560%
Kelly +0.682%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.25%18.42%18.42%19.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.085.105.6022.73%19.68%19.61%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.55%4.25momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%23.60%23.54%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.954.1528.57%25.62%25.32%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -2.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV +3.14%E +0.560%K +0.682%G +0.021%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.63%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -0.547%E -0.101%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -6.75%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.75%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.97%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:35
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:30
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:50
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:39
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 02:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 02:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 02:25
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -5.15%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:29
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 22:24
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -8.63%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 02:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:14
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 02:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:25
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 02:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 02:35
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -12.95%E -8.63%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 02:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.68%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 02:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 02:35
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.13%EV -14.11%E -9.53%K -29.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.30%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-04 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.39%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.87%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.63%E -6.90%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -18.96%E -4.31%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-04 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-04 02:40