L’École des cotes

Atlético San Luis v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prévision 58.03%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -5.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.74%57.98%58.04%59.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.591.581.6667.57%63.06%63.29%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.42%5.43cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +0.560%
Kelly +0.682%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.25%18.42%18.42%19.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.085.105.6022.73%19.68%19.61%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.55%4.25cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%23.60%23.54%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.954.1528.57%25.62%25.32%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -2.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV +3.14%E +0.560%K +0.682%G +0.021%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.63%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -2.27%E -0.548%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 02:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -0.547%E -0.101%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -6.75%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.75%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.97%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:35
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:30
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:50
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 02:39
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.31%E -0.630%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 02:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 02:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:14
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 02:25
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -3.66%E -2.21%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -5.15%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:29
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 22:24
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -8.63%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -9.47%E -6.07%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 02:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:14
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 02:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 02:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:25
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 02:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.58%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 02:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 02:35
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -12.95%E -8.63%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 02:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.40%E -3.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.68%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 02:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.48%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 02:35
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.13%EV -14.11%E -9.53%K -29.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.30%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-04 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.39%EV -11.21%E -7.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.87%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.63%E -6.90%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -18.96%E -4.31%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-04 02:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-04 02:40