Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v León

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 01:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 42.87%2.33fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.87%42.89%42.81%44.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.122.102.2551.02%47.23%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

León (Visit)

Prediction 30.72%3.25fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.421%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%30.78%30.76%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.023.3036.36%32.93%33.11%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV +0.333%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%26.33%26.43%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.71%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 42.87%; León (Visit): 30.72%; Draw: 26.40%. For León (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.43%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.76%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -1.78%E -0.478%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 00:59
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.95%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:04
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:03
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.62%EV -5.37%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.80%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.54%E -3.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.78%EV -5.68%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -15.97%E -8.15%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.70%EV -3.54%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +0.333%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 01:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 00:59
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 00:57
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 00:59
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 00:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -20.79%E -6.93%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.51%E -5.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.5%2026-03-22 01:02
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%4.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%5.0%2026-03-22 01:05