L’École des cotes

Atlético San Luis v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 01:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prévision 42.87%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.87%42.89%42.81%44.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.122.102.2551.02%47.23%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.72%3.25cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.421%
Kelly +0.604%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.80%30.78%30.76%32.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.023.3036.36%32.93%33.11%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.40%3.79cote équitable
EV +0.333%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%26.33%26.43%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.71%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 01:00
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.43%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.76%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -1.78%E -0.478%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 00:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.95%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:04
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:03
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.62%EV -5.37%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.80%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.54%E -3.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.78%EV -5.68%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:59
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -15.97%E -8.15%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.70%EV -3.54%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +0.333%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 01:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 00:59
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 01:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 00:57
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 00:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 00:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -20.79%E -6.93%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.51%E -5.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.5%2026-03-22 01:02
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%4.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%5.0%2026-03-22 01:05