La escuela de los momios

Atlético San Luis v León

Inicio: 2026-03-22 01:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Predicción 42.87%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%42.89%42.81%44.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.122.102.2551.02%47.23%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

León (Visitante)

Predicción 30.72%3.25momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.421%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.80%30.78%30.76%32.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.023.3036.36%32.93%33.11%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.40%3.79momio equitativo
EV +0.333%
Ventaja +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%26.33%26.43%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.71%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -9.11%E -4.30%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV +1.39%E +0.421%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 01:00
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -0.455%E -0.140%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -11.25%E -5.44%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.68%E -0.526%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 01:04
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.43%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.76%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -1.78%E -0.478%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 00:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.95%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:04
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:03
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.62%EV -5.37%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.80%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.54%E -3.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.78%EV -5.68%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.63%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:59
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -15.97%E -8.15%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.70%EV -3.54%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +0.333%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 01:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 00:59
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 01:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.44%E -2.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -6.97%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 00:57
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 00:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.68%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -13.40%E -6.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 00:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 01:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.25%E -7.13%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -13.97%E -4.99%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -20.79%E -6.93%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.11%E -5.91%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.51%E -5.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.5%2026-03-22 01:02
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%4.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%5.0%2026-03-22 01:05