A Escola das Odds

Atlas v Guadalajara

Início: 2026-03-08 01:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Previsão 18.74%5.34odd justa
EV +2.51%
Vantagem +0.459%
Kelly +0.562%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.57%18.73%18.72%20.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.304.874.805.4723.26%20.52%20.83%18.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Guadalajara (Visitante)

Previsão 56.23%1.78odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -4.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.59%56.25%56.19%58.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.641.651.7265.79%60.95%60.61%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.03%4.00odd justa
EV +0.119%
Vantagem +0.030%
Kelly +0.040%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.87%25.02%25.10%26.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.35%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:04
BetOnline.ag5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:05
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.673%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.38%E -0.611%K -0.822%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.61%E -0.307%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:00
GTbets5.24I 19.08%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:00
Coolbet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:59
Pinnacle5.17I 19.34%NM 18.63%EV -3.11%E -0.601%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.13%E -0.287%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:49
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:53
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -4.98%E -0.983%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 00:59
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -3.64%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 00:50
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:42
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:54
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 01:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 01:00
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 00:54
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 00:59
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:54
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:54
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 00:59
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:50
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:49
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:49
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.48%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 01:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:49
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.48%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 00:40
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.65%E -5.74%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 21:39
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -19.41%E -4.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 20:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:55
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-03-08 00:54