مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlas v Guadalajara

البداية: 2026-03-08 01:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.74%5.34السعر العادل
EV +2.51%
الأفضلية +0.459%
Kelly +0.562%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.57%18.73%18.72%20.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.874.805.4723.26%20.52%20.83%18.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Guadalajara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.23%1.78السعر العادل
EV -3.29%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -4.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.59%56.25%56.19%58.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.641.651.7265.79%60.95%60.61%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.03%4.00السعر العادل
EV +0.119%
الأفضلية +0.030%
Kelly +0.040%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.87%25.02%25.10%26.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.35%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:04
BetOnline.ag5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:05
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.673%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.38%E -0.611%K -0.822%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.61%E -0.307%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:00
GTbets5.24I 19.08%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:00
Coolbet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:59
Pinnacle5.17I 19.34%NM 18.63%EV -3.11%E -0.601%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.13%E -0.287%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:49
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:53
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -4.98%E -0.983%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 00:59
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -3.64%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 00:50
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:42
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:54
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 01:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 01:00
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 00:54
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 00:59
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:54
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:49
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:54
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 00:59
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:50
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 00:50
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:49
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:49
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.48%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 01:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:49
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.48%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 00:40
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.65%E -5.74%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 21:39
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -19.41%E -4.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 20:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-08 00:55
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-03-08 00:54