L’École des cotesFrançais
Atlas v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlas (Local)
Prévision 18.74%5.34cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.562%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 5.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.57%18.73%18.72%20.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.874.805.4723.26%20.52%20.83%18.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.23%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%56.25%56.19%58.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.641.651.7265.79%60.95%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.03%4.00cote équitable
EV +0.119%
Avantage +0.030%
Kelly +0.040%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.87%25.02%25.10%26.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.35%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +2.51%E +0.459%K +0.562%G +0.014% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV +0.119%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.673%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.38%E -0.611%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.61%E -0.307%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| GTbets | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.55%E -0.490%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.63%EV -3.11%E -0.601%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.13%E -0.287%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:53 |
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -4.98%E -0.983%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -3.64%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:42 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.14%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| betPARX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.48%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.78%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.48%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -18.65%E -5.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-07 21:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -19.41%E -4.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.89%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |