Language:English
Atlas v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 39.29%2.55fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.712%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%39.17%39.32%41.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.362.352.5046.08%42.44%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV +0.439%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.198%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.92%31.42%31.25%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.2137.04%34.59%34.48%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.015%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.41%29.42%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.203.4035.71%31.74%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 39.29%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 31.29%; Draw: 29.42%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.439%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.40%EV -8.85%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.92%EV +0.439%E +0.137%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -1.44%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.47%EV -0.500%E -0.157%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.96%EV -9.24%E -4.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.92%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.27%EV -5.51%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.70%EV -6.44%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 07:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 07:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.712%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.56%EV -12.78%E -5.76%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.47%EV -14.74%E -6.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.49%EV -14.89%E -5.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -13.20%E -4.48%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-21 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.62%E -6.29%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |