L’École des cotes

Atlas v Atlético San Luis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 39.29%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%39.17%39.32%41.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.362.352.5046.08%42.44%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV +0.439%
Avantage +0.137%
Kelly +0.198%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.92%31.42%31.25%33.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.2137.04%34.59%34.48%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.42%3.40cote équitable
EV +0.036%
Avantage +0.011%
Kelly +0.015%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.41%29.42%30.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.203.4035.71%31.74%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.40%EV -8.85%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.92%EV +0.439%E +0.137%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -1.44%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 22:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 22:35
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.47%EV -0.500%E -0.157%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 22:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 22:45
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.96%EV -9.24%E -4.00%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:54
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.92%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.27%EV -5.51%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.70%EV -6.44%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 22:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:14
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:54
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 22:39
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 22:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 22:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 22:55
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 22:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 07:34
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 07:34
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 22:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 22:44
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 22:55
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 22:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 22:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 22:39
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 22:45
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 22:55
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 22:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:45
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:45
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:50
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.712%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.56%EV -12.78%E -5.76%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 22:54
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:45
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:45
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 22:45
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 22:45
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.47%EV -14.74%E -6.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.49%EV -14.89%E -5.48%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -13.20%E -4.48%K -6.77%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-21 22:49
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.62%E -6.29%K -9.79%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-21 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-02-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-02-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-02-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-02-21 22:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-02-21 22:55