La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atlas v Atlético San Luis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlas (Local)
Predicción 39.29%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.712%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.05%39.17%39.32%41.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.362.352.5046.08%42.44%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético San Luis (Visitante)
Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV +0.439%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.198%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.92%31.42%31.25%33.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.2137.04%34.59%34.48%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.42%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.036%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.015%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.41%29.42%30.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.203.4035.71%31.74%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.40%EV -8.85%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.92%EV +0.439%E +0.137%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -1.44%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.47%EV -0.500%E -0.157%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.96%EV -9.24%E -4.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| GTbets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.92%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.27%EV -5.51%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.70%EV -6.44%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:14 |
| BetUS | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 22:39 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 07:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 07:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 20:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 22:44 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -2.56%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.712%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.56%EV -12.78%E -5.76%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 22:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.881%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.47%EV -14.74%E -6.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.49%EV -14.89%E -5.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -13.20%E -4.48%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-21 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.62%E -6.29%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |