Language:English
Atlante FC v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlante FC (Local)
Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.624%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%30.63%30.80%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.3035.71%32.96%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 42.21%2.37fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%42.19%42.14%44.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.152.152.2651.81%46.61%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.18%27.06%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.58%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 30.74%; Pachuca (Visit): 42.21%; Draw: 27.05%. For Atlante FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.624%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.624%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 07:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -14.73%E -7.29%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.82%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.82%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.82%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.79%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.10%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.94%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -5.87%E -2.63%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.11%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.56%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.93%EV -6.71%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.11%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.68%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.33%EV -18.53%E -9.60%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-08 06:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.68%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.68%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 12:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.68%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-07 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-07 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.46%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.23%EV -12.62%E -6.10%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.93%E -4.98%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 02:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |