Language:English
América v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 58.97%1.70fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -8.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.72%58.96%58.83%61.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.551.561.6169.93%64.46%64.31%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 17.76%5.63fair odd
EV +6.57%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%17.74%17.88%18.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.195.256.0021.28%19.26%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.315%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.41%23.30%23.30%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.924.004.2427.78%25.48%25.00%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 58.97%; Tijuana (Visit): 17.76%; Draw: 23.27%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +6.57%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.24%E -3.92%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 03:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.37%E -6.82%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 10:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.09%E -0.757%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.53%EV -4.44%E -0.826%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.52%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.34%EV -4.62%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.97%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.21%EV -5.06%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 01:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.58%EV -15.67%E -10.96%K -36.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.39%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.86%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.29%EV -10.88%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.82%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -16.52%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 03:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | -0.0% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 05:48 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32% | 26.3% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32% | 26.3% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 57.07% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 26.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 16.42% | 48.5% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |