Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América v Tijuana

Início: 2026-09-06 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América (Local)

Previsão 58.97%1.70odd justa
EV -5.06%
Vantagem -3.14%
Kelly -8.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.72%58.96%58.83%61.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.551.561.6169.93%64.46%64.31%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 17.76%5.63odd justa
EV +6.57%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.75%17.74%17.88%18.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.705.195.256.0021.28%19.26%19.05%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.27%4.30odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.41%23.30%23.30%24.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.924.004.2427.78%25.48%25.00%23.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: América (Local): 58.97%; Tijuana (Visitante): 17.76%; Empate: 23.27%. Para Tijuana (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.63. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +6.57%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.24%E -3.92%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 02:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 03:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.37%E -6.82%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 10:18
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.09%E -0.757%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 02:20
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.53%EV -4.44%E -0.826%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.52%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:44
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.34%EV -4.62%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 10:25
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:49
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:49
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:49
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.97%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.21%EV -5.06%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-02 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-02 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-02 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 15:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 01:02
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 02:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 23:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.58%EV -15.67%E -10.96%K -36.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.39%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-02 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.86%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.29%EV -10.88%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 23:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 01:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 15:40
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 03:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.82%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -16.52%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 03:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-09-04 10:55
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.17%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-09-03 05:48
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-09-03 05:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32%26.3%2026-09-04 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32%26.3%2026-09-04 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 57.07%2.54I 39.37%NM 26.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 16.42%48.5%2026-09-04 06:30