Idioma:Español
América v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 58.97%1.70momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -8.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.72%58.96%58.83%61.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.551.561.6169.93%64.46%64.31%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 17.76%5.63momio equitativo
EV +6.57%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.75%17.74%17.88%18.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.195.256.0021.28%19.26%19.05%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%23.30%23.30%24.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.924.004.2427.78%25.48%25.00%23.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América (Local): 58.97%; Tijuana (Visitante): 17.76%; Empate: 23.27%. Para Tijuana (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.63. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.57%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +6.57%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.24%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.41%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.24%E -3.92%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 03:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.37%E -6.82%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 10:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.09%E -0.757%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.53%EV -4.44%E -0.826%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.52%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.34%EV -4.62%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.86%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.97%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.21%EV -5.06%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.37%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.42%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 01:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.58%EV -15.67%E -10.96%K -36.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.39%EV -12.97%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.86%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.29%EV -10.88%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.74%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.82%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -16.52%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 03:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | -0.0% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 05:48 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32% | 26.3% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 49.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 31.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.32% | 26.3% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 57.07% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 26.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 16.42% | 48.5% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |