Language:English
América v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 68.64%1.46fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -9.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.33%68.57%68.67%69.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.16%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 12.67%7.89fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.199%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.61%12.68%12.64%13.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.147.008.0015.38%14.00%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.68%5.35fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.75%18.69%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.905.005.2522.22%20.41%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 68.64%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 12.67%; Draw: 18.68%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.89. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.62%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.08%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.30%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.55%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV -1.77%E -0.229%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 22:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.99%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.57%EV -6.08%E -0.821%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -5.65%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.14%EV -8.36%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.52%EV -4.16%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -8.74%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.07%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.12%EV -11.91%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.81%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%EV -13.81%E -2.03%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -13.13%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.54%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.29% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.44% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |