Idioma:Español
América v Santos Laguna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 68.64%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -2.79%
Kelly -9.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.33%68.57%68.67%69.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.16%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Santos Laguna (Visitante)
Predicción 12.67%7.89momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.199%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.61%12.68%12.64%13.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.147.008.0015.38%14.00%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.68%5.35momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.365%
Kelly -0.451%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.85%18.75%18.69%20.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.905.005.2522.22%20.41%20.00%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América (Local): 68.64%; Santos Laguna (Visitante): 12.67%; Empate: 18.68%. Para Santos Laguna (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.89. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.39%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.62%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.08%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.30%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.55%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV -1.77%E -0.229%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 22:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.99%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.57%EV -6.08%E -0.821%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -5.65%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.14%EV -8.36%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.52%EV -4.16%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -8.74%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.07%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.12%EV -11.91%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.81%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%EV -13.81%E -2.03%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -13.13%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.54%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.29% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.44% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |