Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 23:00 UTC

Score final : América 3–0 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América (Local)

Prévision 68.64%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -9.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.33%68.57%68.67%69.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.16%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.67%7.89cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.61%12.68%12.64%13.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.147.008.0015.38%14.00%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.68%5.35cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.451%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.85%18.75%18.69%20.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.905.005.2522.22%20.41%20.00%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 68.64% ; Santos Laguna (Visiteur) : 12.67% ; Match nul : 18.68%. Pour Santos Laguna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.89. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.39%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 22:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.39%E +0.174%K +0.199%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.19%EV -3.90%E -2.79%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.18%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.62%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.08%EV +0.761%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.30%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.55%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV -1.77%E -0.229%K -0.263%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.92%E -0.365%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -4.72%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.85%E -0.548%K -0.679%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 22:38
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.94%E -0.659%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 22:55
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.99%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.57%EV -6.08%E -0.821%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -5.65%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 22:54
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -6.21%E -0.839%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 22:55
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.14%EV -8.36%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.52%EV -4.16%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -8.74%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 22:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:20
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:19
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:19
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:20
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -5.27%E -3.82%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 22:20
Everygame🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.76%E -8.28%K -35.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -6.59%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 22:49
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -11.28%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.07%EV -8.02%E -5.98%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.12%EV -11.91%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.81%EV -9.39%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%EV -13.81%E -2.03%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.46%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.39%E -7.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -13.13%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.54%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -14.45%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 22:19
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.26%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 22:50
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -7.33%E -5.43%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 22:35
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.93%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 22:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.14%E -9.48%K -43.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-02 22:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.82%0.2%2026-08-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-08-02 22:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.0%2026-08-02 22:55
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-08-02 22:35