Language:English
América v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 42.74%2.34fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.07%42.85%42.75%46.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.102.152.2753.19%47.58%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%28.49%28.60%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.253.6034.72%30.54%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.60%3.50fair odd
EV +0.109%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.66%28.64%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.92%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 42.74%; Pumas (Visit): 28.65%; Draw: 28.60%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -15.79%E -8.02%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -16.22%E -8.28%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -16.65%E -8.54%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.61%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -3.90%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -17.08%E -8.80%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -2.47%E -0.723%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 22:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 22:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.24%E -3.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 22:41 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.18%EV -13.23%E -6.52%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.55%EV -12.04%E -3.92%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.37%E -6.04%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 22:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -13.66%E -6.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.47%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 22:40 |