A Escola das Odds

América v Pumas

Início: 2026-05-03 23:00 UTC

Final: América 3–3 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

América (Local)

Previsão 42.74%2.34odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.07%42.85%42.75%46.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.102.152.2753.19%47.58%46.51%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 28.65%3.49odd justa
EV +3.15%
Vantagem +0.875%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.32%28.49%28.60%29.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.273.253.6034.72%30.54%30.77%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.60%3.50odd justa
EV +0.109%
Vantagem +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%28.66%28.64%30.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.92%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 22:50
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 22:50
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:46
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 22:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 22:45
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -15.79%E -8.02%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 22:46
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -16.22%E -8.28%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -16.65%E -8.54%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 22:56
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 22:55
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.61%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 22:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -3.90%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 22:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 22:45
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -17.08%E -8.80%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 22:45
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -2.47%E -0.723%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 22:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 22:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 22:41
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 22:51
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 22:35
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.24%E -3.34%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 22:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 22:54
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 22:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 22:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 22:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 22:50
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 22:49
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 22:50
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 22:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 22:39
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 22:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 22:41
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 22:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 22:35
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 22:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 22:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 22:56
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 22:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.18%EV -13.23%E -6.52%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.55%EV -12.04%E -3.92%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 22:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.37%E -6.04%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 22:36
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -13.66%E -6.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.47%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 22:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-03 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-03 22:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-03 22:55
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-03 22:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%1.9%2026-05-03 22:50
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%4.1%2026-05-03 22:40