La escuela de los momiosEspañol
América v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 42.74%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.07%42.85%42.75%46.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.102.152.2753.19%47.58%46.51%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV +3.15%
Ventaja +0.875%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%28.49%28.60%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.6034.72%30.54%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV +0.109%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.66%28.64%30.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.92%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.80%E -6.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV +3.15%E +0.875%K +1.21%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV +0.109%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.32%E -0.383%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV +0.285%E +0.082%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -15.79%E -8.02%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -16.22%E -8.28%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -16.65%E -8.54%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.59%EV -2.97%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -1.43%E -0.417%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.61%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -3.90%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -17.08%E -8.80%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -2.47%E -0.723%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 22:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 22:41 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 22:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -19.64%E -10.45%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.24%E -3.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:49 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 22:39 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 22:41 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.96%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 22:35 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.24%E -4.87%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -17.05%E -5.88%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.18%EV -13.23%E -6.52%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.55%EV -12.04%E -3.92%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 22:39 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.37%E -6.04%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 22:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -13.66%E -6.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.47%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.51%E -7.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 22:40 |