Language:English
América v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.34%55.73%55.26%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.631.651.7568.03%61.23%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 20.75%4.82fair odd
EV +14.15%
Edge +2.57%
Kelly +3.14%
Growth +0.445%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.27%20.31%20.82%21.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.605.5023.81%21.47%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV +0.339%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.61%23.95%23.92%25.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.853.904.2028.57%26.00%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 55.36%; Puebla (Visit): 20.75%; Draw: 23.89%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +14.15%E +2.57%K +3.14%G +0.445% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.339%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -14.20%E -9.16%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +10.00%E +1.89%K +2.33%G +0.232% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -10.88%E -6.76%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +3.77%E +0.754%K +0.943%G +0.036% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -9.77%E -5.99%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -14.75%E -9.58%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -16.41%E -10.87%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.24%EV -1.21%E -0.254%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.73%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.29%EV -18.63%E -12.67%K -39.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.63%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.80%EV -6.19%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.32%E -6.37%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -9.72%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -12.08%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -11.79%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.96% | 0.1% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |