Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América v Puebla

Inizio: 2026-08-30 01:05 UTC

Finale: América 2–0 Puebla

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América (Casa)

Previsione 55.36%1.81quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.34%55.73%55.26%60.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.631.651.7568.03%61.23%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.75%4.82quota equa
EV +14.15%
Vantaggio +2.57%
Kelly +3.14%
Crescita +0.445%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.27%20.31%20.82%21.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.664.605.5023.81%21.47%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.89%4.19quota equa
EV +0.339%
Vantaggio +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.61%23.95%23.92%25.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.853.904.2028.57%26.00%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América (Casa): 55.36%; Puebla (Trasferta): 20.75%; Pareggio: 23.89%. Per Puebla (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.82. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +14.15%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +14.15%E +2.57%K +3.14%G +0.445%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.339%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -14.20%E -9.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +10.00%E +1.89%K +2.33%G +0.232%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -10.88%E -6.76%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +3.77%E +0.754%K +0.943%G +0.036%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -9.77%E -5.99%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -14.75%E -9.58%K -27.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 01:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -16.41%E -10.87%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.24%EV -1.21%E -0.254%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.73%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 00:50
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 01:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.29%EV -18.63%E -12.67%K -39.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:00
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.63%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.80%EV -6.19%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 01:00
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 00:59
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.32%E -6.37%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -9.72%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -12.08%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 00:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 01:00
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -11.79%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 01:00
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 01:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 00:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 00:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 00:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.96%0.1%2026-08-30 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 01:00
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-30 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-30 01:00
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-08-30 01:00