Langue:Français
América v Puebla
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América (Local)
Prévision 55.36%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.34%55.73%55.26%60.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.631.651.7568.03%61.23%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Puebla (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.75%4.82cote équitable
EV +14.15%
Avantage +2.57%
Kelly +3.14%
Croissance +0.445%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%20.31%20.82%21.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.664.605.5023.81%21.47%21.74%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV +0.339%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.61%23.95%23.92%25.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.853.904.2028.57%26.00%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 55.36% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 20.75% ; Match nul : 23.89%. Pour Puebla (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.82. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +14.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +14.15%E +2.57%K +3.14%G +0.445% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.339%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -14.20%E -9.16%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +10.00%E +1.89%K +2.33%G +0.232% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.89%G +0.149% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -13.65%E -8.75%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +5.85%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -10.88%E -6.76%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +3.77%E +0.754%K +0.943%G +0.036% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -9.77%E -5.99%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -14.75%E -9.58%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV +1.70%E +0.346%K +0.435%G +0.007% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -15.86%E -10.43%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -16.41%E -10.87%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -0.380%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.24%EV -1.21%E -0.254%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.73%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -1.42%E -0.298%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.29%EV -18.63%E -12.67%K -39.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -2.46%E -0.522%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -4.53%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.04%EV -4.74%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.01%E -0.740%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.63%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.80%EV -6.19%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -6.61%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.68%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.32%E -6.37%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -9.72%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -12.08%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.13%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -11.79%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.56%E -4.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -12.83%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.80%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 00:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.96% | 0.1% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 01:00 |