Language:English
América v Mazatlán FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 77.08%1.30fair odd
EV -0.573%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.56%76.97%77.05%78.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.211.211.2988.50%82.73%82.64%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mazatlán FC (Visit)
Prediction 7.89%12.67fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.19%7.99%7.85%11.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.2511.2011.0013.0012.12%8.93%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.03%6.65fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.328%
Kelly +0.384%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 6.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%15.04%15.11%17.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.355.915.786.8018.69%16.91%17.32%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 77.08%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 7.89%; Draw: 15.03%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.67. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.51%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.13%EV +1.93%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.28%E -6.96%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.80%EV -9.05%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.31I 8.84%NM 8.29%EV -10.75%E -0.951%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV -9.20%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.43%E -3.57%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-16 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.44%EV -10.59%E -9.13%K -66.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -28.98%E -3.22%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.12%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 11.05I 9.05%NM 8.27%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.61%EV -12.05%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.29%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.03%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.00%EV -23.06%E -2.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 00:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.16%EV -12.91%E -11.42%K -99.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.20%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-16 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.30%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.39%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.82%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -0.573%E -0.444%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -34.90%E -4.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -19.57%E -3.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 00:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.13% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |