L’École des cotes

América v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América (Local)

Prévision 77.08%1.30cote équitable
EV -0.573%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.56%76.97%77.05%78.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.211.211.2988.50%82.73%82.64%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.89%12.67cote équitable
EV +2.59%
Avantage +0.199%
Kelly +0.215%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.19%7.99%7.85%11.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.2511.2011.0013.0012.12%8.93%9.09%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.03%6.65cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.328%
Kelly +0.384%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.13%15.04%15.11%17.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.355.915.786.8018.69%16.91%17.32%14.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009%3.7%2026-03-16 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009%3.7%2026-03-16 00:30
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.51%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.13%EV +1.93%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-16 00:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 00:35
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 00:55
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 00:45
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 00:45
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.28%E -6.96%K -43.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 00:55
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.80%EV -9.05%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 00:55
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.31I 8.84%NM 8.29%EV -10.75%E -0.951%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV -9.20%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:35
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.43%E -3.57%K -18.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 00:49
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:50
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:45
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 00:50
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 00:35
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 00:30
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.44%EV -10.59%E -9.13%K -66.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -28.98%E -3.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.12%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.05I 9.05%NM 8.27%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.61%EV -12.05%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 00:50
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:40
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:40
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 76.29%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 00:45
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 00:50
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 00:29
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 00:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 00:35
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:40
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 00:40
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.03%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.00%EV -23.06%E -2.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 00:53
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.16%EV -12.91%E -11.42%K -99.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.20%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-16 00:54
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 75.30%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.39%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.82%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 00:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -0.573%E -0.444%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -34.90%E -4.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -19.57%E -3.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:52
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%1.2%2026-03-16 00:55
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.13%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-03-16 00:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%3.0%2026-03-16 00:50