A Escola das Odds

América v Mazatlán FC

Início: 2026-03-16 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

América (Local)

Previsão 77.08%1.30odd justa
EV -0.573%
Vantagem -0.444%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.56%76.97%77.05%78.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.211.211.2988.50%82.73%82.64%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mazatlán FC (Visitante)

Previsão 7.89%12.67odd justa
EV +2.59%
Vantagem +0.199%
Kelly +0.215%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.19%7.99%7.85%11.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.2511.2011.0013.0012.12%8.93%9.09%7.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.03%6.65odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.328%
Kelly +0.384%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.13%15.04%15.11%17.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.355.915.786.8018.69%16.91%17.32%14.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009%3.7%2026-03-16 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.40%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.18%EV +2.23%E +0.328%K +0.384%G +0.009%3.7%2026-03-16 00:30
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.51%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.13%EV +1.93%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-16 00:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 00:35
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 00:55
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.37%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.40%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -2.28%E -0.351%K -0.415%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 00:45
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 00:45
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.28%E -6.96%K -43.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.966%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 00:55
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.80%EV -9.05%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 00:55
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.31I 8.84%NM 8.29%EV -10.75%E -0.951%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV -9.20%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:35
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.43%E -3.57%K -18.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 00:49
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:50
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -5.31%E -0.442%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:45
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 00:50
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -9.80%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 00:35
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 00:30
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.36%E -0.109%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.44%EV -10.59%E -9.13%K -66.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -28.98%E -3.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -11.30%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.12%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.05I 9.05%NM 8.27%EV -12.80%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.61%EV -12.05%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 00:50
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:40
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -2.89%E -2.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -9.25%E -0.804%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:40
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 76.29%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -12.80%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 00:45
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +2.59%E +0.199%K +0.215%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -5.20%E -4.23%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 00:40
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 00:50
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 00:29
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 00:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -13.56%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 00:35
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -5.97%E -4.89%K -27.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.57%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -15.81%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:40
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 00:40
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.05%E -7.67%K -50.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -13.20%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -7.51%E -6.26%K -37.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -25.03%E -2.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.03%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.00%EV -23.06%E -2.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 00:53
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.16%EV -12.91%E -11.42%K -99.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.20%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -17.31%E -3.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-16 00:54
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 75.30%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.39%EV -17.14%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.82%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 00:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -0.573%E -0.444%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -34.90%E -4.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -19.57%E -3.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 00:52
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%1.2%2026-03-16 00:55
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.13%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-03-16 00:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%3.0%2026-03-16 00:50