Language:English
América v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 54.18%1.85fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%54.11%54.27%56.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.691.701.7864.10%59.12%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 19.86%5.04fair odd
EV +4.25%
Edge +0.809%
Kelly +0.999%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%19.90%19.78%21.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.12%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.494%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.00%25.96%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.7832.26%28.28%28.17%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 54.18%; FC Juárez (Visit): 19.86%; Draw: 25.96%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -10.60%E -6.42%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -11.14%E -6.79%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -15.48%E -9.92%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.82%EV -3.90%E -0.805%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -1.87%E -0.494%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.75%EV -4.29%E -0.891%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.69%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -7.67%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.03%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.63%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.22%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.52%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.62%E -3.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.60%EV -13.31%E -8.32%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.42%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -18.59%E -4.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |