La escuela de los momiosEspañol
América v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 54.18%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.42%54.11%54.27%56.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.691.701.7864.10%59.12%58.82%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 19.86%5.04momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +0.809%
Kelly +0.999%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.98%19.90%19.78%21.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.12%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.494%
Kelly -0.672%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.00%25.96%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.7832.26%28.28%28.17%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -10.60%E -6.42%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -11.14%E -6.79%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -15.48%E -9.92%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.82%EV -3.90%E -0.805%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -1.87%E -0.494%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.75%EV -4.29%E -0.891%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.69%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -7.67%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.03%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.63%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.22%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.52%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.62%E -3.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.60%EV -13.31%E -8.32%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.42%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -18.59%E -4.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |