L’École des cotes

América v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América (Local)

Prévision 54.18%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.42%54.11%54.27%56.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.691.701.7864.10%59.12%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.86%5.04cote équitable
EV +4.25%
Avantage +0.809%
Kelly +0.999%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.98%19.90%19.78%21.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.12%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.96%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.494%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.00%25.96%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.7832.26%28.28%28.17%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.08%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +0.999%G +0.042%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:39
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 02:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -10.60%E -6.42%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:40
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -11.14%E -6.79%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV +1.27%E +0.248%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 02:40
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.10%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 02:40
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.02%EV -11.68%E -7.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 02:40
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -0.719%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 02:45
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -15.48%E -9.92%K -27.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -2.70%E -0.552%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 02:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.82%EV -3.90%E -0.805%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -1.87%E -0.494%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.75%EV -4.29%E -0.891%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.69%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.24%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:30
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 02:34
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:34
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 02:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:50
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 02:55
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 02:55
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 02:55
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -7.67%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 02:35
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 02:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -8.43%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.03%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 02:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 02:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.77%E -7.93%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.63%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 02:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.22%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.52%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.62%E -3.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 02:40
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.60%EV -13.31%E -8.32%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.42%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-05 02:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -18.59%E -4.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-05 02:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%0.4%2026-03-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-05 02:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-05 02:55