Language:English
América v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 49.32%2.03fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%49.49%49.19%53.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.831.851.9761.73%54.63%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV +10.65%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +2.96%
Growth +0.315%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%23.87%24.14%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.003.974.6028.57%25.00%25.19%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%26.65%26.67%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7131.25%29.16%28.99%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 49.32%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 24.06%; Draw: 26.62%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -16.15%E -9.50%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -20.10%E -12.41%K -32.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.83%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.60%EV -4.26%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.29%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.05%EV -2.83%E -1.44%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -3.10%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.26%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -5.22%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.36%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -11.62%E -3.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 22:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.97%EV -12.20%E -6.86%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-16 22:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |