Idioma:Español
América v Atlético San Luis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 49.32%2.03momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.07%49.49%49.19%53.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.831.851.9761.73%54.63%54.05%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético San Luis (Visitante)
Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +10.65%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +2.96%
Crecimiento +0.315%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.37%23.87%24.14%25.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.003.974.6028.57%25.00%25.19%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.62%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%26.65%26.67%27.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.7131.25%29.16%28.99%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América (Local): 49.32%; Atlético San Luis (Visitante): 24.06%; Empate: 26.62%. Para Atlético San Luis (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.16. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.65%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -16.15%E -9.50%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -20.10%E -12.41%K -32.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.83%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.60%EV -4.26%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.29%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.05%EV -2.83%E -1.44%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -3.10%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.26%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -5.22%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.36%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -11.62%E -3.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 22:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.97%EV -12.20%E -6.86%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-16 22:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |