默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

América v Atlético San Luis

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 23:00 UTC

最终结果: América 3–0 Atlético San Luis

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

América (主队)

预测 49.32%2.03公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
47.07%49.49%49.19%53.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.831.851.9761.73%54.63%54.05%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético San Luis (客队)

预测 24.06%4.16公平赔率
EV +10.65%
优势 +2.32%
Kelly +2.96%
增长率 +0.315%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.37%23.87%24.14%25.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.003.974.6028.57%25.00%25.19%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.62%3.76公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.333%
Kelly -0.456%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布
26.01%26.65%26.67%27.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.433.453.7131.25%29.16%28.99%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:América (主队):49.32%;Atlético San Luis (客队):24.06%;平局:26.62%。 对于“Atlético San Luis (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.60,对应+10.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +10.65%E +2.32%K +2.96%G +0.315%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 22:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -14.67%E -8.48%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.194%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 22:53
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -16.15%E -9.50%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV +4.64%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.064%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -17.14%E -10.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV +3.44%E +0.799%K +1.04%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -20.10%E -12.41%K -32.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-16 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.83%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 22:39
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:49
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.60%EV -4.26%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.29%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.05%EV -2.83%E -1.44%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -3.10%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.26%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -5.22%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.36%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 22:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 22:39
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 22:49
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 22:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 22:34
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -11.62%E -3.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 22:48
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.97%EV -12.20%E -6.86%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 22:48
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 22:54
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 22:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 22:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 22:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-08-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-16 22:54
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-08-16 22:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-16 22:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-16 22:55