Language:English
Waterford FC v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 14.32%6.99fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.13%14.42%14.25%15.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.086.007.2518.18%16.45%16.67%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 63.96%1.56fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -8.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.61%63.79%63.97%64.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5073.53%68.84%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%21.79%21.78%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.26%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 14.32%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 63.96%; Draw: 21.72%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.99. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV +3.79%E +0.523%K +0.607%G +0.023% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -2.65%E -0.390%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.18%E -6.46%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.22%EV -3.65%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV -3.55%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -4.08%E -0.609%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -10.52%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.06%EV -11.10%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -4.06%E -2.71%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.59%EV -10.06%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -13.01%E -9.57%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-03 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.80%E -6.05%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -15.54%E -2.63%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%EV -18.40%E -3.23%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.83%EV -12.37%E -9.03%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -19.83%E -3.54%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-02 05:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -21.26%E -3.87%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |